Widespread severe weather outbreak is expected this afternoon and tonight, focused within the Moderate Risk area.
This risk includes intense damaging wind gusts of over 80+ mph, very large hail (larger than 3-4 inches in diameter) (baseballs and larger), and tornados (some could be strong)!
The corridor of the most intense storms is expected across western/southern and parts of central OK, as well as north TX.
Thus, the ENH/MDT risk areas have been expanded southward and southeastward into TX to reflect both the high-end hail threat with the initial supercells, and a high-end wind threat with any late evening/overnight storm clusters.
During the afternoon and evening, an intense fast-moving line of storms is expected to develop.
Storms are likely to increase initially by mid-afternoon, with rapid expansion in coverage thereafter.
Intense supercells capable of producing very large hailstones are expected, along with a tornado threat associated with these more intense supercells.
Furthermore, there is an anticipated upscale growth this evening, leading to the development of a mature and intense forward-propagating MCS/Derecho.
(Damaging Wind Probabilities)
This line of storms will move southeastward into and across Oklahoma. It is highly likely that wind gusts associated with the more intense parts of this line will exceed 80+ mph.
Apart from the potential for significant and widespread wind damage, a few tornadoes will be possible, along with a continued threat of episodic large hail into the evening.
Looking ahead, this complex of storms may reach parts of North Texas and Arklatex by late evening or early overnight hours, and potentially even the ArkLaMiss vicinity.
Are you prepared?
Now will be a good time to check your weather radios and have several ways to receive watches & warnings!
Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today.
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings