Florence Becoming Better Organized; East Coast Landfall Likely

Florence Becoming Better Organized; East Coast Landfall Likely



•Rapid intensification is expected to start on Sunday.

•Florence is forecast to be a dangerous major hurricane near the southeast U.S. coast by late next week, and the risk of direct impacts continues to increase.

*Tropical Storm Florence is centered at 11 a.m. AST over the Atlantic Ocean about 835 miles (1340 km) southeast of Bermuda. It’s moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Florence will move over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean between Bermuda and the Bahamas Tuesday and Wednesday and approach the southeastern U.S. coast on Thursday.

*Maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts, but Florence is likely to restrengthen to a hurricane by tonight.

*However, given the uncertainty in track and intensity forecasts at those time ranges, it’s too soon to determine the exact timing, location, and magnitude of those impacts. Interests along the U.S. East Coast, particularly from north Florida through North Carolina, should closely monitor the progress of Florence, ensure they have their hurricane plan in place, and follow any advice given by local officials.

*Swells generated by Florence are affecting Bermuda and will reach portions of the U.S. East Coast during the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.